Summary of the past day as a whole and analysis of what Prigozhin show means.
Prigozhin has lost his reputation among the population, among the military, and most likely among his subordinates.
This is due to the fact that after such movements, after so many promises, after pulling units from the occupied territory of Ukraine, he has not achieved anything.
He has put not only his head, but also all Wagner PMC members’ heads on the chopping block.
I don’t think that Prigozhin will be forgiven so easily for downed planes and helicopters.
I don’t think that his betrayal and big words will be forgiven so easily, because the Russian Defense Ministry now understands for sure that, in addition to Ukraine, they have a rather murky PMC at their side, which at any moment can organize another campaign against Moscow.
Such people are removed, such PMCs do not exist for a long time, and Putin has realized who is his main competitor for power in the Russian Federation.
Can this whole campaign be a fake?
It can. But purely logically, I don’t think so.
The Russian Aerospace Forces suffered too heavy losses, too much fuss was made in many Russian cities, and the RF Ministry of Defense ended up getting hurt too much, having proved the total vulnerability of the territory of the Russian Federation, because the PMC who were directly declared an enemy, managed to cover a long distance.
The loss of a reputational image for Prigozhin, Putin and the Russian Defense Ministry just so that someone could crow on Telegram about an offensive in the Bakhmut area? There was already an offensive there.
Maybe it was done in order to introduce martial law? But it’s not worth such a serious blow to the reputation of the entire top of the Russian Federation.
The territory of the Russian Federation is not protected at all
Let’s continue. The PMC has calmly covered the distance from the Rostov region to the Moscow region without encountering resistance, although it should have been.
Imagine if such a march had been decided to be held by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, what would have happened?
No barricades, no roadblocks, barriers only against trucks, absolutely weak aviation work with heavy losses of aircraft and pilots, terrible logistics, traffic jams due to which the units that were supposed to liberate settlements simply could not travel a distance of 100-200 kilometers.
The latter, by the way, testifies to terrible logistics and coordination.
There are many more minuses than pluses for the “presidential apparatus” and for Prigozhin himself.
Take for example an unsafe warehouse with tactical nuclear weapons.
The PMC banally has screwed the Russian Defense Ministry and showed that there are no hundreds of thousands of mobilized and reservists on the territory of the Russian Federation.
There are no defensive lines on the territory of the Russian Federation, and the only thing to be afraid of when attacking is that they can block a road with trucks or break this very road with a bucket.
The commander of the Russian Aerospace Forces sided with the rebels, as did some units of the Russian Armed Forces and military correspondents who publicly declared their support for Prigozhin.
Putin is no longer the tsar of Russia, and he understood this today. Power is no longer entirely in his hands.
The Kadyrovites are even more hilarious. The situation was indeed critical if it was decided to call for help the untrained Tik-tok troops without combat experience.
Tags: Russia
