Ukraine’s resources: a path to prosperity or another missed opportunity?

Ukraine's resources: a path to prosperity or another missed opportunity?

I have one major doubt about the project’s development prospects based on both U.S. and Ukrainian sources…

I am against trading resources for security.  

Because security won’t come that way.  

Look:  

– American companies will operate in Ukraine, just like in Africa.  

– There, they extract raw materials but process and manufacture products elsewhere.  

– Private military companies will protect the extraction sites (and they will appear in Ukraine as well).  

– The war in Ukraine will be stopped. But will people live happily?  

Yes, a few tens of thousands of jobs will be created in mining.  

That’s it.  

Let me give you an example I always use.  

From one ton of titanium raw material worth $300, you can produce 250 kg of products (such as implants), with a final value of about $6,000 per kg (sometimes reaching up to $20,000).  

Calculate the total value:  

250 * 6000 = $1.5 million 

That’s 5,000 times higher!  

And this value does not remain in Ukraine (!!!)  

As a Ukrainian citizen, I want Ukrainian minerals to be processed in Ukraine (!!!)  

– With American capital  

– With American technologies  

– With American engineers  

Let these companies be 90%-100% owned by American funds and corporations.  

But let them operate in Ukraine.  

Another question arises:  

Why would they need Ukraine at all? 

– A country ranked 150th in the world in economic freedom (hello again, Africa).  

– A country with a terrible tax code and an idiotic tax system (ranked 65th globally).  

– A country where tax rules have changed over 200 times in 10 years (!!!) – zero predictability.  

– A country with no competitive investment incentives (R&D cost compensation, capital investment incentives, easy network connections, fast and simple procedures, free economic zones, British law…).  

– A country without a strategy or strategic priorities.  

– A country that does not respect private property(hello ARMA, GPU, SBU… courts).  

– A country with corrupt, controlled courts and judges.  

– A country without ideological parties, facing constant political turbulence, regime changes, and instability.  

Shall I continue?  

Overall, we’re at a dead end.  

– If they only extract resources without processing them – I am against it. 100% of Ukrainians, the rightful owners of these resources, will be against it.  

– But processing is impossible without changing the lawlessness described above.  

So maybe we should finally fix our mistakes and create the right conditions in Ukraine?  

I’m certain that if there’s a real will, we can develop the necessary legal framework in just 2-3 months:  

– The 10-10-10 Tax Code draft is already prepared.  

– British law for the International Financial Center is already included in a 100-year agreement with the UK.  

– The Long-Term Strategy only needs finalization (Ukraine Vision 2035 is ready).  

– Security guarantees and access to cheap, long-term resources can be established through U.S.-Ukraine intergovernmental agreements.  

U.S.-Ukraine cooperation, with both extraction and processing in Ukraine, would lead to:  

– The creation of hundreds of new enterprises.  

– Hundreds of thousands of well-paid jobs (by Ukrainian standards, and for the U.S., Ukrainians will remain cheaper labor than Americans for the next decade).  

– Tens of billions of dollars in investments.  

– A hundreds-of-billions increase in the market capitalization of American corporations.  

– Higher tax revenues for Ukraine and higher foreign exchange earnings from exports.  

– Real security for Ukraine – because losing a mining site is one thing, but protecting territory that produces critical components for key partners is a whole different story.  

As they say:  

“Those who want – find opportunities, those who don’t – find excuses!” 

Read, think, and share!

Anatoliy Amelin

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